In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
55
1kṀ9862
2029
34%
chance

AI
Technology
Technical AI Timelines
AI Impacts
ChatGTP
Unsubsidized
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
70% chance
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt?
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
76% chance
In 2025, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?
61% chance
In 2038, will a movie be able to generate a high-quality AI to a prompt?
70% chance
Multi year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt?
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
52% chance
By 2028, will AI be able to make a full animated movie with consistent plot, design and characters with no input besides the original prompt?
53% chance
In 2030, which of the following prompts will an AI be able to accurately follow to generate a high-quality movie?
Will AI generates film (not video) by using a person's script before 2026
50% chance
Sort by:

[edited]

when the model quality bridges a certain threshold research into video generation will be accelerated. Potential threshold to led to further funding: https://openai.com/sora

predictedYES

Maybe of interest: https://lumiere-video.github.io

Is close time today intentional?

People are also trading

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
70% chance
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt?
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
76% chance
In 2025, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?
61% chance
In 2038, will a movie be able to generate a high-quality AI to a prompt?
70% chance
Multi year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt?
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
52% chance
By 2028, will AI be able to make a full animated movie with consistent plot, design and characters with no input besides the original prompt?
53% chance
In 2030, which of the following prompts will an AI be able to accurately follow to generate a high-quality movie?
Will AI generates film (not video) by using a person's script before 2026
50% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy