Higgsfield AI 🧩 (@higgsfield_ai) on X

still pretty glitchy, but seems like people are starting to use harnesses to fully automate video gen

so early 2028, with gpt 7 + seedance 4, how far can that be pushed?

haven't seen a fully-automated "harness" pull off a coherent multi-shot scene like this though:

https://www.reddit.com/r/aivideo/comments/1w8xqk4/one_small_bite_seedance_wip_trailer/

Even if it's just 30s long

@0xseraphim 16 months left

@bens ez

@bens real movies are jumbles of barely coherent shots strung together and are full of continuity errors. There are very few steps left to go from current tech to a movie that resolves this question YES

@0xseraphim AI can't even currently generate a "full high-quality" novel, let alone a movie.

@bens are you familiar with the plot and dialogue of Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen (2009)?

@bens Megan fox runs around in it. And then there are explosions. And mythology.

@bens

Almost made a billion dollars at the box office

The plot and dialogue of Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen (2009) isn't even the floor. This question's criteria just says "It should be more or less comparable to a big-budget studio film"

@bens https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-5kUWn3HqXw

@bens my confidence is high that automated plot/dialogue generation passed the threshold set by Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen (2009) some time ago

@0xseraphim I can tell you that I am extremely locked into SOTA hour-length vertical microdramas right now. They (1) involve some degree of human-in-the-loop still, and (2) are not remotely at the quality of "high-quality big budget studio films". That being said, progress is quite fast! That's why this market is at 28%. I'd price it closer to 10-15%, but not zero!

@bens we need the metr graph going from the microdrama to the feature film 😄

IDK how anyone looks at AI progress and thinks "wow 16 months is a long time"

@jim long time or short time?

https://til.simonwillison.net/llms/blender-coding-agents-macos

Using Blender with coding agents on macOS

Modern frontier models have got really good at using Blender. I've been having a lot of fun trying this out recently - models can produce .blend files you can edit in Blender itself, and can also render images and even movies (by rendering a sequence of images and combining them with ffmpeg ).

Does @BrianM have 2000 separate limit orders at 36%? Do you realize you can make a limit order that is larger than 25 mana?

@FlorisvanDoorn Stop it, what?

@FlorisvanDoorn does a limit order count towards your daily prediction streak?

@ZandaZhu usually this happens when someone has a lot of mana invested, and not enough mana balance to place the limit order size they want. Spam smaller orders = 1 bigger order, doesn't matter if you're low balance because it'll fill as a sell anyway

@Gen I was thinking that he would just put his daily streak mana into the limit order everyday

@Gen I feel like in that scenario you just take a loan and then pay it back five minutes later with minimal interest