Resolves YES for every option that happens if Democrats win a Senate majority in 2026, NO for every option that happens if they don't, and N/A for every option that doesn't happen.

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Democrats get a majority in the House in 2026 , followed by There is a US government shutdown in 2025 and Unconditional are most likely. See the market for live updates (29 traders, as of Sep 20, 2026).

If X is true, will Democrats get a majority in the Senate in 2026?

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?

32% chance

Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

94% chance

Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?

58% chance

Will Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?

Will Democrats regain control of the Senate in 2026?

+6% 1d57% chance

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?

32% chance

Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

61% chance

Will the Democratic Party win a majority in the Senate in the 2026 mid-term election

61% chance

Will Democrats win 53 seats or more in the 2026 Senate elections?

39% chance

Will Democrats lose control of the senate in 2024 and 2026, then regain it in 2028?

-5% 1d27% chance

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