If this person is a candidate for WA-03, will a Democrat win the house seat in the 2026 midterms?
3
Ṁ150Ṁ65Nov 3
72%
Marie Gluesenkamp Pérez
66%
Brent Hennrich
63%
Troy Rasband
Resolved
N/A[n/a]
Resolved
N/A[n/a]
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Democrats win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections?
87% chance
Conditional on which Party wins the Presidency in 2024, will Democrats win the House in 2026?
Will the Democratic party win more than 240 US house seats in the 2026 election?
22% chance
Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?
38% chance
If this person is the Democratic candidate for U.S. House Illinois District 9, will they win the 2026 midterms?
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
87% chance
Will a Democrat win a House of Representatives election in Arkansas 2026?
17% chance
Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
Will Democrats win back the House in 2026 ?
84% chance
Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?
18% chance