If this person is the Democratic candidate for U.S. House Illinois District 9, will they win the 2026 midterms?
3
Ṁ125Ṁ1.2kDec 31
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
99%
Daniel Biss
98%
Kat Abughazaleh
Update 2025-12-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve N/A if the specified person is not the Democratic candidate for U.S. House Illinois District 9.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Who will win the Democratic Primary in the IL-9 District.
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
34% chance
Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
86% chance
Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
14% chance
Who Will win the 2026 Illinois Democratic Primary for the Senate Seat?
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in North Carolina?
83% chance
How many Democratic Representatives will Illinois elect in 2026?
Will the Democratic party win more than 240 US house seats in the 2026 election?
18% chance
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in Maine?
71% chance
Sort by:
@JeromeHPowell I don't but I was reading some controversy about Abughazaleh's electoral strategy and I was like hey we can get information from the future about this
I actually work for Daniel so I consider myself pretty well versed in her strategy what controversy are you kind of talking about?
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will win the Democratic Primary in the IL-9 District.
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
34% chance
Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
86% chance
Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
14% chance
Who Will win the 2026 Illinois Democratic Primary for the Senate Seat?
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in North Carolina?
83% chance
How many Democratic Representatives will Illinois elect in 2026?
Will the Democratic party win more than 240 US house seats in the 2026 election?
18% chance
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in Maine?
71% chance