Will any part of America be under martial law during midterm elections?
72
Ṁ1kṀ17kresolved Nov 4
Resolved
NO1H
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Update 2026-01-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if:
Martial law is active during voting hours
It has been declared by someone with authority to do so
This applies to any part of America
The declaration can be for any reason
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Reason: No formal martial law has been declared in the U.S. in over eight decades, and none was reported as of November 3, 2026.
Other traders should consider: The main risk is a looser reading of "martial law" that counts de facto military control, such as National Guard units assigned election-support roles in at least seven states. Check how the resolution defines martial law, since President Trump has not ruled out emergency action, including invoking the Insurrection Act.
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