
Will there be a military coup in the United States before 2029?
29
1kṀ14652029
9%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Some political commentators have expressed the possibility of a military coup, if Donald Trump is elected in 2024. Will one occur?
The coup does not need to be successful, it just needs to have military support and be significant enough that multiple major news sources (eg. CNN, Fox, NYT) have reported on it and referred to it as a coup or similar.
This market does not need Donald Trump to have been elected.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?
7% chance
Will China experience a military coup before 2028?
8% chance
Will there be a military conflict between China and the United States by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will the US experience martial law before 2026?
16% chance
Conditional on Trump assuming the presidency in 2025, will he be ousted by a military coup?
7% chance
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
12% chance
Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)?
34% chance
Will the US will have a Civil War by the end of 2028?
9% chance
What countries will the US be at war with in 2029?
Will the US have state-sanctioned death squads by Jan 20th 2029?
11% chance