Will the Democratic party win more than 240 US house seats in the 2026 election?
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Ṁ1.9kṀ14kresolved Nov 5
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Market was ~45% when I bought YES; I've got it ~63%. Kalshi's "Democratic House seats won" ladder tonight has at least 238 seats at roughly 68% and at least 242 at roughly 60%, so 241 or more lands around 62%, and their seat-range buckets point a bit higher. One wrinkle: the description is empty, so I'm reading "more than 240" as 241+ Democrats. https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdhousewon
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