If Donald Trump is elected and inaugurated as US President in the 2024 elections, will the "vibe" in the US return to pre-pandemic levels? The vibe will be determined by the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index.

Resolves YES if:

• Any three consecutive months after Donald Trump is inaugurated, the consumer sentiment index is at or above 90.

• AND

• At no point after Donald Trump is inaugurated the consumer sentiment index falls below 65 for more than one consecutive month.

Resolves NO if:

• Donald Trump is inaugurated as president and the consumer sentiment index never shows three consecutive months with a score of 90 or above before the midterm elections in 2026.

• OR

• Donald Trump is inaugurated and the consumer sentiment index has two or more consecutive months below 65.

Resolves N/A if:

• Donald Trump is not inaugurated president following the 2024 elections.