If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election?
7
Ṁ100Ṁ88Dec 31
25%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2026-04-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Win" means the PM after the next election is a member of the Labour party (not necessarily a majority).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@Roddy oops didn't clarify. "win" means the PM after the next election is a member of the Labour party
People are also trading
Related questions
[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
53% chance
Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?
15% chance
Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer?
Will Keir Starmer resign in 2026?
38% chance
If Labour loses over 1000 council seats in the 2026 local elections, will Starmer cease to be PM in 2026?
49% chance
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…..?
If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?
29% chance
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
10% chance
If this person is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK election after 2024, will the PM be Labour?