Counting from the time of this post as starting time, 4/21 1:09 pst. If the war does not restart by 4/23 1:09 PST then more than 2 days resolved YES
Update 2026-05-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will use major news sources to determine if there is a general consensus that the war restarted. If major news sources still describe the ceasefire as being in place (e.g., calling incidents a "test" to the ceasefire rather than a resumption of war), the ceasefire will be considered as still holding.
1,000People are also trading
@100Anonymous nope, that toggle is locked if you don't set it when making the market. it actually has 3 states: "anyone" "creator-only" and "disabled for all"
@Stralor Never mind, I thought the toggle was visible even if you selected the "no one" option. I guess the "no one" option is effectively useless then.
@100Anonymous i think the idea is it's a conscious lock that guarantees to traders that the creator wont mess around and move the target under your feet because they can't. but yeah, completely counterproductive in a market like this
I'm not exactly sure what the details are regarding this market and what qualifies as the ceasefire "holding" for the purposes of market resolution but there's been a lot of funny business in the past few hours, including the firing of weapons from both sides at the other, which generally contravenes the standard understanding of the word "ceasefire".
@Balasar I am going to use major news sources consensus for whether the war restarted. Currently they are describing this incident as a test to the ceasefire which means they still believe the ceasefire is in place
@Mochi is there a deadline for resolving this one? or will it stay open until the ceasefire collapses or an agreement is reached?
@someoneR5c8l stay open until ceasefire collapses or agreement is reached to permanently stop the war
@Balasar still moving military equipment and troops into Centcom's AOR though...