Elon Musk-endorsed candidate can be another Republican winning in a Republican primary against the incumbent, in which case the results of the general election for that seat will be ignored, or a member of any party (including another Republican in the states with non-partisan general elections) winning in a general election.
Only the midterm elections on 11/3/2026 will be considered.
Endorsement will be confirmed by Musk's public statements or reliable reports of Musk's campaign contributions.
1,000Market was ~30% when I added; I have it ~6% now the midterms are over. Musk spent this cycle funding Republicans, so a GOP incumbent who lost lost to someone he opposed. https://turnto10.com/news/nation-world/tesla-space-x-billionaire-elon-musk-backs-republicans-warns-against-radical-left-ahead-of-2026-midterms-president-donald-trump-doge-one-big-beautiful-bill-act-political-donor
Market was ~50% when I bet. I calculate ~11%. Every Republican incumbent who lost this year lost to a Trump pick. Musk's PAC began spending in September, after Cornyn had already lost, and it backs Republicans against Democrats. You priced a feud that ended. NO. https://abc57.com/news/elon-musk-s-super-pac-starts-spending-to-help-gop-in-midterms-including-texas-ken-paxton
The cycle continues.