This market concerns whether Elon Musk will endorse the republican candidate in the next US presidential election.
Please note that this market will be resolved only after the election concludes — there will be no early resolution.
While the next US presidential election is currently scheduled for 2028, this market applies to whichever election occurs next. If, for any reason, the next election takes place before or after 2028, this market will still apply to that election.
This market is currently set to close in 2030, but the closing date may be extended. The goal is to keep the market open until the question is definitively resolved.
Author betting rules
The author of this question can place bets on it.
Resolving rules
This question will be resolved shortly after the polling stations have officially closed in all US states.
Other questions on this topic
1,000@JussiVilleHeiskanen This question is about the endorsement of the Republican candidate by Musk. If he endorses the Republican candidate, this market will be resolved YES.
It does not matter if Musk retracts his endorsement later or starts endorsing a Democratic candidate after he has endorsed the Republican candidate. If he endorses the Republican candidate, this is sufficient for the market to be resolved YES, no matter what the other conditions are. (It will also be resolved YES if he first endorses a Democratic candidate but later starts endorsing the Republican candidate)
P.S. Now I feel that it would be better to organise this market so that it resolves shortly after the endorsement happens, so there’s no need to wait. But 1.5 years ago, when I created this market, I explicitly stated that it would be resolved after the election, so I'll stick with this rule.