Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026?
41
1kṀ32562026
22%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Primary defeats, general election defeats, forced retirements etc count.
Elon Musk must donate a major amount or launch a large campaign to defeat these candidates. A lone statement or tweet does not suffice
I will not trade in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Elon Musk create a political party in 2025?
41% chance
Will Elon Musk's political orientation change by the end of 2025?
47% chance
Will Elon Musk successfully primary any incumbent Democrats in the next election?
49% chance
Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk?
59% chance
Will Elon Musk be the next Republican presidential candidate?
2% chance
Will Elon Musk fund any democratic party member in 2025?
18% chance
Will Elon Musk endorse a republican candidate in the next US presidential election?
48% chance
Will Elon Musk vote for the Republican party in 2028?
55% chance
Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?
32% chance
If Elon Musk runs for US president before 2033, will they win?
13% chance