US elections only.
Any primary OR general election at the state, congressional, or local level is fit to resolve this.
Ballot initiatives count.
Both candidates have to publicly support somebody in a race. Races where one backs someone but the other backs no one won't be enough for a YES.
"Publicly support" means some level of tangible, actual support: something like an endorsement, campaign funding, things of this nature. It has to rise to the level of actually supporting the campaign. Something like liking or retweeting a post by a candidate or expressing simple agreement, for example, aren't enough for a resolution. It has to be actual substantive backing.
Update 2026-11-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated that the market will resolve to YES.
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@Marnix @traders Trump endorsed Andy Barr in the Kentucky Senate primary (NBC). Musk had been funding Nate Morris in that same race: Axios reported a $10M check (Fox Business), and Kentucky Lantern also reported Musk’s financial support for Morris. The criteria count primaries and say funding counts as “substantive backing,” so this fits almost exactly.
@EvanWang11j3 The articles attached don't seem to actually say the things you claim? These articles are both about KY-4, not the Senate.
@Marnix You're right, the Fox link was a bad citation since that story is mainly about Massie. Here is the Kentucky Senate primary directly, all in one article: https://gvwire.com/2026/05/02/trump-endorses-andy-barr-for-senate-as-musk-backed-candidate-exits-race/
It says Trump endorsed Andy Barr in that primary, calls Nate Morris "the candidate supported by Musk", and says Musk gave $10 million to a group supporting Morris's campaign. Axios broke the donation here: https://axios.com/2026/01/19/elon-musk-10-million-campaign-donation-kentucky
So in the same 2026 Republican Senate primary, Trump backed Barr with an endorsement and Musk backed Morris with campaign funding, which is the substantive backing the description asks for.
@Marnix i found some articles which do actually talk about this:
(Side note, if you're going to fully relegate the entire message to an LLM, please take the care to check your sources in the future.)
This, unfortunately, technically resolves YES. I say technically because Trump only endorsed Barr after Morris dropped out, but since this was specifically at Trump's request, I guess that counts. This is enough to resolve it, I suppose, but man i wish someone would have come ahead with this wayyyyyyy earlier.