Will Elon Musk and Donald Trump publicly support different candidates in any 2026 election?
14
100Ṁ3352026
73%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
US elections only.
Any primary OR general election at the state, congressional, or local level is fit to resolve this.
Ballot initiatives count.
Both candidates have to publicly support somebody in a race. Races where one backs someone but the other backs no one won't be enough for a YES.
"Publicly support" means some level of tangible, actual support: something like an endorsement, campaign funding, things of this nature. It has to rise to the level of actually supporting the campaign. Something like liking or retweeting a post by a candidate or expressing simple agreement, for example, aren't enough for a resolution. It has to be actual substantive backing.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Elon Musk announces support for a Democratic candidate before August 1, 2025
9% chance
Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026?
22% chance
Will Elon Musk endorse a democratic candidate in the next US presidential election?
26% chance
Will Elon Musk endorse a republican candidate in the next US presidential election?
48% chance
Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?
32% chance
Will Elon Musk be as a candidate for the President of United States in any state in the 2028 election?
5% chance
Will Elon Musk fund any democratic party member in 2025?
18% chance
Will Elon Musk run in the 2028 Presidential Election?
5% chance
Will Elon Musk endorse a Democrat for president in the next decade? (by November 2034)
45% chance
Will Elon Musk run in the 2036 Presidential Election.
3% chance