Will China get AGI first? | Manifold

Will China get AGI first?

27

Ṁ1kṀ2.8k

2050

24%

chance

1H

6H

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1M

ALL

Resolves as YES if the Chinese government or any entity primarily affiliated with China achieves AGI first.

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Great Power Conflict

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China's Moonshot AI claims Kimi K3 can rival OpenAI and Anthropic

China's Moonshot AI claims Kimi K3 can rival OpenAI and Anthropic

The company has unveiled a massive new artificial intelligence model it says can take on top American firms.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3cDHx2_QbPE

soldṀ575NO

@ouroboros 👀

How do you evaluate if AGI is achieved? What are the exact resolution criteria?

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Will we get AGI before 2028?

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