Which company will create AGI first? | Manifold

Which company will create AGI first?

88

Ṁ2kṀ5.9k

2036

26%

Anthropic

17%

OpenAI

12%

US Government

11%

Safe Superintelligence (SSI)

8%

Communist Party of China

7%

Other

7%

DeepMind

6%

people not employed by a company

2%

N/A

1.4%

xAI

If the first company that brings AGI to the world is not listed, resolves N/A

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Which company will be the first to develop, announce, and allow the public to freely interact with “true” AGI?

Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?

A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?

Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

Will AI create the first AGI?

By when will we have AGI?

Will China get AGI first?

Sort by:

bought Ṁ30 YES

Ilya Sutskever (@ilyasut) on X

😛

Huffing the copium

Surely this goes up with the recent news

OpenAI makes great products and great infrastructure but let’s be honest they haven’t invented a single thing.

@Gigacasting lol

@Gigacasting But they were the ones to capitalize on the things that others invented.

@Adam I will not resolve to that. If a not listed company creates it first, it will resolve N/A

@FranklinBaldo What if one of these companies buys another? Will it resolve to both?

@FranklinBaldo I was mostly intending to expensively signal "AGI will not be created" but if there's no value in my underlying then I'll get out :P

Which company will create AGI first?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

People are also trading

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2029?

+4% 1d34% chance

Which company will be the first to develop, announce, and allow the public to freely interact with “true” AGI?

Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?

A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?

Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

Will AI create the first AGI?

By when will we have AGI?

Will China get AGI first?

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Which company will be the first to develop, announce, and allow the public to freely interact with “true” AGI?

Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?

A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?

Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

Will AI create the first AGI?

By when will we have AGI?

Will China get AGI first?