
Which company will create AGI first?
82
Ṁ2kṀ4.9k2036
25%
Anthropic
21%
DeepMind
15%
OpenAI
13%
US Government
7%
5%
Communist Party of China
5%
people not employed by a company
4%
xAI
4%
N/A
If the first company that brings AGI to the world is not listed, resolves N/A
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Which entity will be the first to officially announce the creation of AGI?
Which company will be the first to develop, announce, and allow the public to freely interact with “true” AGI?
Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?
A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?
Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Will AI create the first AGI?
43% chance
By when will we have AGI?
Will China get AGI first?
23% chance
Will xAI be the first to release AGI to the public?
10% chance
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@FranklinBaldo I was mostly intending to expensively signal "AGI will not be created" but if there's no value in my underlying then I'll get out :P
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Related questions
Which entity will be the first to officially announce the creation of AGI?
Which company will be the first to develop, announce, and allow the public to freely interact with “true” AGI?
Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?
A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?
Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Will AI create the first AGI?
43% chance
By when will we have AGI?
Will China get AGI first?
23% chance
Will xAI be the first to release AGI to the public?
10% chance


