Which company will create AGI first? | Manifold

Which company will create AGI first?

73

Ṁ1.9kṀ4.4k

2036

39%

DeepMind

14%

OpenAI

11%

Anthropic

10%

xAI

10%

US Government

5%

Communist Party of China

5%

people not employed by a company

2%

Other

1.3%

Safe Superintelligence (SSI)

1.2%

DeepSeek

If the first company that brings AGI to the world is not listed, resolves N/A

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When will AGI be developed and released to the public?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?

Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?

Will AI create the first AGI?

Will China get AGI first?

Will xAI be the first to release AGI to the public?

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Huffing the copium

Surely this goes up with the recent news

OpenAI makes great products and great infrastructure but let’s be honest they haven’t invented a single thing.

@Gigacasting lol

@Gigacasting But they were the ones to capitalize on the things that others invented.

@Adam I will not resolve to that. If a not listed company creates it first, it will resolve N/A

@FranklinBaldo What if one of these companies buys another? Will it resolve to both?

@FranklinBaldo I was mostly intending to expensively signal "AGI will not be created" but if there's no value in my underlying then I'll get out :P

Which company will create AGI first?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

People are also trading

When will AGI be developed and released to the public?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?

Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?

Will AI create the first AGI?

Will China get AGI first?

Will xAI be the first to release AGI to the public?

Related questions

When will AGI be developed and released to the public?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?

Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?

Will AI create the first AGI?

Will China get AGI first?

Will xAI be the first to release AGI to the public?

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