Which company will create AGI first? | Manifold

Which company will create AGI first?

72

1.9kṀ4313

2036

24%

DeepMind

17%

OpenAI

15%

Anthropic

13%

xAI

11%

US Government

6%

Communist Party of China

6%

people not employed by a company

3%

Other

2%

Meta

1.6%

Safe Superintelligence (SSI)

1.3%

DeepSeek

If the first company that brings AGI to the world is not listed, resolves N/A

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Which entity will be the first to officially announce the creation of AGI?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?

Will we get AGI before 2031?

What organization will be the first to create AGI?

Which company will be the first to develop, announce, and allow the public to freely interact with “true” AGI?

Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

Will AI create the first AGI?

Will we get AGI before 2026?

Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?

Sort by:

Huffing the copium

Surely this goes up with the recent news

OpenAI makes great products and great infrastructure but let’s be honest they haven’t invented a single thing.

@Gigacasting lol

@Gigacasting But they were the ones to capitalize on the things that others invented.

@Adam I will not resolve to that. If a not listed company creates it first, it will resolve N/A

@FranklinBaldo What if one of these companies buys another? Will it resolve to both?

@FranklinBaldo I was mostly intending to expensively signal "AGI will not be created" but if there's no value in my underlying then I'll get out :P

Which company will create AGI first?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

People are also trading

Which entity will be the first to officially announce the creation of AGI?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?

Will we get AGI before 2031?

What organization will be the first to create AGI?

Which company will be the first to develop, announce, and allow the public to freely interact with “true” AGI?

Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

Will AI create the first AGI?

Will we get AGI before 2026?

Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?

Related questions

Which entity will be the first to officially announce the creation of AGI?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?

Will we get AGI before 2031?

What organization will be the first to create AGI?

Which company will be the first to develop, announce, and allow the public to freely interact with “true” AGI?

Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

Will AI create the first AGI?

Will we get AGI before 2026?

Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy