Will we get AGI before 2027?
57
1kṀ69242026
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
AGI defined as transformative, at least human-level, but potentially superhuman AI, capable of doing at least any cognitive task humans can do, at least at human level.
Related to: https://manifold.markets/MarioCannistra/will-we-get-agi-before-2026
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2025?
3% chance
Will we get AGI before 2037?
79% chance
Will we get AGI before 2036?
76% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
66% chance
Will we get AGI before 2047?
86% chance
Will we get AGI before 2038?
79% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2027?
21% chance
Will we get AGI before 2034?
73% chance
Will we get AGI before 2039?
82% chance
Will we get AGI before 2035?
74% chance