MANIFOLD
US strikes within and/or boots on the ground in Nigeria before midnight Christmas Eve 2026?
12
Ṁ100Ṁ652
resolved Dec 26
Resolved
YES

Trump is concerned about persecution of Christians in Nigeria. Will he attack before Christmas 2026? Only action by official armed forces counts towards resolution, private contractors or intelligence services being active doesn't.

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whaddafork?

@bens Metaculus was literally at 0.1% on this

@bens how low do you think the venezuela one will be when it suddenly spikes up?

eyyyy

bought Ṁ93 YES

Merry Christmas

@Dulaman well Saturnalia was when jesters took the part of the tyrant

@Dulaman CNN is reporting it too

This is SO depressing.

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