In 2030, will Wikipedia's article on Race and Intelligence still falsely claim the existence of a scientific consensus for 0% genetic causation?
16
1kṀ6072030
41%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2026?
7% chance
Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2030?
64% chance
Is there a genetic contribution of at least 50% to the black/white IQ gap in 2023? [Resolves to the popular consensus in 2060]
52% chance
Will race realism/scientific racism be proven true by 2050
43% chance
Will it be revealed that at least 3 people with Wikipedia articles have done IQ selection on their children before 2028?
77% chance
If a definitive genetic study of race and intelligence gets performed, what will the W/B genetic g difference be?
10
Will Wikipedia still exist in 2100?
60% chance
Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030?
33% chance
Will Wikipedia be up at wikipedia.org in 2030?
92% chance
Will Wikipedia endorse the lab-leak theory for origins of COVID-19 before 2030?
20% chance