Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2030?
78
215Ṁ6182
2030
64%
chance

If the human can review the edit and choose to stop it before it's published, then it doesn't count. English Wikipedia, mainspace.

  • Update 2025-07-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the market to resolve YES, it must be known that the edit was made by an AI.

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