Resolves on news reports of official government moves to annex, conquer, control, or purchase the territory from at least one of:
• ABC
• CBS
• NBC
• PBS
• NPR
• CNN
• Fox
• MSNBC
• Associated Press
• New York Times
• Washington Examiner
• Wall Street Journal
• USA Today
What would qualify as try? If he declares once in office he wants to take control of them but doesn't do anything else, how does it resolve?
@RaphaelBon Good question. As it says in the description, "Resolves on news reports of official government moves to annex, conquer, control, or purchase." It's not enough for Trump to tweet he's thinking about it. Resolution requires official government action.
What if he doesn’t seriously try to take over any new territory in his second term?
@JeffBerman I think this is the wrong market type then (it should be independent multiple choice, not dependent)?
I agree. The market's initial conditions are not set up correctly. This will probably need to be N/A'd.
The "case law" for how this has gone down in the past can be seen in the market linked below: