If Trump wins, will his first year in office be 'a complete shit show'?

35

Ṁ100Ṁ1.5k

resolved Jan 15

Resolved

YES

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolution will follow the results of a poll on Manifold, created after the deadline (6th of January 2026).

Update 2026-01-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The poll that will determine resolution has been created and can be found at the linked market. Voting will take place after the deadline (January 6th, 2026).

Market context

Republican Party

2024 US Presidential Election

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https://manifold.markets/TheWabiSabi/trumps-first-year-in-office-was-a-c?r=VGhlV2FiaVNhYmk

Trump's first year in office was 'a complete shit show'?

Check out this market to bet on what Trump will say in Year 1 https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/what-words-or-phrases-will-trump-sa

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 60% order

Put a limit up order for Yes at 60% for who's interested

This market has conflict of interest written all over it

@Entropy how could I resolve that? I'm happy to cancel my limit order if that helps.

@TheWabiSabi Would improve if you take as much control away from yourself to influence the outcome of the poll, such as by already specifying the title, options (full text) and tags.

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What will happen during Trump's second term?

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Related questions

Will Trump finish his second term?

If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?

2026 a nightmare year for Trump?

Will trump be president next year?

Will Trump do a good job?

Will "the USA and the whole world burn" during Trump's term?

If he comes to power, will Donald Trump Make America Great Again?

What will happen during Trump's second term?

Will Donald Trump be noticeably more successful at accomplishing his goals in his second term than he was in his first?

Will Trump serve a full second term (after winning in 2024)?

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