Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Republicans chances to win the senate go above 30% again?
1
Ṁ1kṀ7.5k
resolved Nov 2
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES, if the following market trades at 30% or more before it resolves. But after market creation

US Politics
2026 US Congressional Elections
Elections
2026 Midterms
26 Midterm Contest
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ926
Sort by:

@Jack1 sorry but i had to do it :( condolences for your lost liquidity

you might... wanna set the initial probability higher or config it differently (like above 40%, or set limit orders)

bought Ṁ7,500 YES

@Jack1 grave mistake. resolves YES.
bingo.

People are also trading

Will Republicans chances to win the senate go above 50% again?
-4% 1d29% chance
Will Republican chances to win the house go above 10% again?
-6% 1d7% chance
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
-3% 1d22% chance
Will Republican chances to win the house go above 5% again?
-20% 1d10% chance
Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
3% chance
Will Republicans win a Majority of Toss up house seats in 2026? [Sabato's Crystal Ball]
-9% 1d31% chance
Will Republicans maintain control of the US Senate following the 2026 midterm elections?
-8% 1d22% chance
Will Democrats win 53 seats or more in the 2026 Senate elections?
-5% 1d49% chance
Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race? (Polymarket)
39% chance
Will Republicans win a Majority of Toss up Senate seats in 2026? [Cook Political Report]
-5% 1d24% chance