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Will there be widespread civil unrest in Minneapolis in January?
12
Ṁ100Ṁ786
Jan 31
12%
chance

  • Update 2026-01-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Widespread civil unrest is defined as protests with:

    • Large amounts of property damage

    • Large amounts of arrests

    • Deaths

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Was the George Floyd protests "widespread"?

widespread civil unrest means protests with large amounts of property damage, arrests, and deaths.

filled a Ṁ20 NO at 21% order

@GuyCohen that doesn't really define it any better. Beforehand nobody knew what your cut off was for widespread , and now nobody knows what your cut off is for large.

I second the motion for clearer resolution criteria.

What is the definition of “widespread civil unrest” for purposes of this question?

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