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MANIFOLD
๐Ÿšข Will Iran and Oman reach an agreement to reopen shipping through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
2
แน€100แน€14
Aug 30
45%
chance

Resolution criteria:

Resolve YES if, by 11:59 PM UTC on August 31, 2026, Iran and Oman officially announce an agreement permitting regular commercial shipping through a designated route in the Strait of Hormuz. A temporary one-off passage of individual vessels without an announced agreement does not count. Resolve NO otherwise.

(Identical market to: source market)

Market context
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