Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?
64
Ṁ1.8kṀ25k
Oct 25
58%
Lula
26%
Flávio Bolsonaro
11%
Renan Santos
1.9%
Michelle Bolsonaro

Market context
Politics
Brazil
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ5 NO

I feel Lula may dropout of running for the 4th time at 80yrs old

made this market to predict the number of deputies elected by the newly created partido missao

https://manifold.markets/RenanFonseca/how-many-deputies-will-partido-miss?r=UmVuYW5Gb25zZWNh

bought Ṁ10 NO

She doesn't have minimum age

People are also trading

Who will be on the ballot for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4% chance
Who will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
Brazil 2026 Election: Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Brazil 2026 Election: Will the presidential election be decided in first round?
9% chance
Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Governor of São Paulo?
Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio de Janeiro (RJ)?
Brazil 2026 Election: Who will participate in at least one televised Brazilian presidential debate?
Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be the PSD candidate for President of Brazil?
Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in São Paulo (SP)?