Who will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
13
Ṁ575Ṁ8312031
19%
16%
Ronaldo Caiado
14%
Jair Bolsonaro
12%
Tarcísio de Freitas
11%
Flávio Bolsonaro
5%
Fernando Haddad
4%
Pablo Marçal
4%
Gusttavo Lima
4%
Ratinho Junior
3%
Rosângela Lula da Silva
2%
Romeu Zema
1.6%
Michelle Bolsonaro
1.5%
Simone Tebet
1.5%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2030 Brazilian presidential election.
This market's closing date, currently 6 January 2031, may be pushed back if needed to ensure that it can stay open until the results are clear.
If no presidential election is held in Brazil in 2030, this market shall resolve to "No one".
I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?
Will Roberto Campos Neto be elected president of Brazil or be the runner-up during the next presidential election?
1% chance
Who will be on the ballot for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Brazil 2026 Election: Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Brazil Presidential Election Winner
Brazil 2026 Election: Will the presidential election be decided in first round?
13% chance
Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
47% chance
Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Governor of São Paulo?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
66% chance
Who will win the next Romanian presidential elections?