Brazil 2026 Election: Will the presidential election be decided in first round?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ166Oct 4
13%
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Resolution criteria
A candidate who receives more than 50% of the total valid votes in the first round is elected. This market resolves YES if any candidate achieves this threshold on October 4, 2026. If no candidate for president receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round, a runoff election is held on 25 October, and the market resolves NO. Resolution will be based on official results from the Brazilian Superior Electoral Court (TSE).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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