Will Armchair Warlord's post on Venezuela stand up by the end of the year?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ72Dec 31
54%
chance
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The post:
https://x.com/ArmchairW/status/2007504591861231918
Update 2026-01-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the general gist of the post, not on whether every single prediction is correct. Individual incorrect predictions will not necessarily cause the market to resolve NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@AlexanderTheGreater What matters is the general gist of the post, not so little as a single prediction.
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