Resolution Criteria
This market resolves YES if a government agent kills an American citizen between now and February 28, 2026. Resolution will be based on verified reports from credible news sources confirming that a person killed by a government agent was a U.S. citizen. The death must occur during an government operation or enforcement action. Deaths in government custody are excluded from this market.
Background
There have been at least 26 shootings by immigration agents since January 20, 2025, of which 6 have resulted in deaths. On January 7, 2026, Renée Good, a 37-year-old American citizen, was fatally shot in Minneapolis, Minnesota, by United States Immigration and Customs Enforcement agent Jonathan Ross. On January 24, US Border Patrol agents shot and killed Alex Pretti, a 37-year-old American citizen, nurse, and resident of south Minneapolis. Good's killing was the ninth time in five states and Washington, D.C., that government agents had opened fire on people since September 2025. The shootings show a pattern that policing experts say is alarming: officers firing into cars and injuring and killing drivers. In the majority of the shootings, officers have fired into cars.
Considerations
As part of the Trump administration's sweeping deportation efforts during his second presidency, government agents have been increasingly involved in violent confrontations with migrants and US citizens as part of the agency's shift to more aggressive immigration enforcement. Stephen Miller, the key architect of Trump's cruel immigration agenda, assured government agents back in October—including questionable recruits with insufficient training—that they have "federal immunity." The market covers a 34-day window (January 25 - February 28, 2026) during an active period of heightened government enforcement operations.
Update 2026-01-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market pertains specifically to protest activity against government overreach in immigration law enforcement (similar to what has occurred in Minneapolis).
Excluded from resolution: If a government agent kills a US citizen while serving a warrant unrelated to immigration (e.g., drugs, criminal activity, etc.), the market will NOT resolve YES.
1,000Oh, I just noticed a problem that we should clarify before it becomes important. The question title refers to a “government agent” but the body talks about an “ICE agent”. Is this question about killings by
any agent of any organization at any level of US govt, like the title states? (Would an LAPD killing count?)
any agent of any US federal government agency? (Would a National Guard killing count?)
any agent of any non-military US federal agency? (Would an FBI killing count?)
any agent of any agency under the DHS? (Would a Border Patrol killing like that of Alex Pretti count?)
only ICE agents, as the question body states?
Fixed it.
It should be clearly understood by all that this question pertains to protest activity against government overreach in immigration law enforcement similar to what has occurred in Minneapolis.
For example: if a government agent were to kill a US citizen while serving a warrant unrelated to immigration, i.e. drugs, criminal activity, etc, the question would not close.