Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if an ICE agent fatally shoots a U.S. citizen or a person dies in ICE custody by February 28, 2026. Resolution will be based on official reports from ICE, the Department of Homeland Security, medical examiners, or credible news sources documenting the death of a U.S. citizen caused by or occurring during ICE operations or detention. Deaths must be confirmed as involving a U.S. citizen

Background

At least six immigrants have died in the custody of ICE already in 2026, and a seventh person was fatally shot by an off-duty ICE officer. On January 7, 2026, Renée Nicole Macklin Good, a 37-year-old American woman, was fatally shot in Minneapolis, Minnesota, by ICE agent Jonathan Ross. Hundreds of protesters marched in Minneapolis on Sunday, demanding justice for the fatal ICE shooting that killed US citizen Alex Pretti, the second shooting death involving federal officers in Minneapolis this month. There have been at least 30 shootings by immigration agents since January 20, 2025, resulting in 8 deaths.

Considerations

The question specifically asks about U.S. citizens, which is a narrower category than total ICE-related deaths. While at least 5 of the people shot in this time period were also U.S. citizens, most ICE custody deaths involve non-citizens. Traders should note that distinguishing citizenship status in initial reports can be unclear, and resolution may require waiting for official confirmation from authorities or medical examiners.

• Update 2026-01-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves based on deaths caused by ICE agents specifically, not other federal agencies such as CBP (Customs and Border Protection).