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MANIFOLD
World Cup 2026 prop bets
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Ṁ1.2kṀ773
Jul 19
45%
10% for each team that wins all their group games
47%
10% for each team that does not get a point in group stage
58%
20% for each point for lowest points in group stage that qualifies
60%
20% for each point for highest points in group stage that fails to qualifies
52%
5% for highest goals a team scores in all three games of group stage
84%
10% for each red card in group stages
50%
10% for each come from behind win in group stage
40%
10% for each hat trick in group stage
49%
10% for each 0-0 draw in group stage
48%
10% per total goals in match in highest score draw in group stage
72%
10% for each goal difference for team with highest goal difference after group stage
45%
10% for each game won by teams eliminated in group stage

Feel free to add markets.

Let me know if anything is unclear.

Highest scoring draw in the group stage

  • Update 2026-06-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The resolution is based on total goals in the match (not goals per team) in the highest scoring draw in the group stage.

  • This question has now been edited for addition clarity

  • Update 2026-06-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The 5% answer refers to the highest number of goals a team scores across all 3 group stage games (not in a single match).

Market context
Sports
Soccer
2026 FIFA World Cup
Sports Betting
FIFA World Cup
MS Community: FIFA World Cup 2026
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@ChristopherRandles Is this for a single match in the group stage or total goals by a team across all their group stage games?

@Jen6382 across 3 group stage games
(I don't expect more than 10 in a game so it would be 10% if it was for a single match.)

@ChristopherRandles Is this total goals in the match or goals per team?

@jonathan I intended total goals in the match. 10% because I don't imagine more than 5-5 is going to happen. A 2-2 seems quite likely so surprised it is trading so low. Is that indicative that people think it is goals per team?

How do I make it clearer? Maybe "10% per total goals in match in highest score draw in group stage"?

bought Ṁ14 YES

@ChristopherRandles Yeah agreed that 2-2 is pretty likely

I'm guessing some people thought it's per team and some people thought it's total because I would be surprised if 4-4 happens

I think saying total somewhere would help

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