20 var decisions overturned: only actual VAR interference count, automated offside checks are not included Most questions should be clear from official stats pages. I reserve the right to make calls on ambiguous cases Update 2026-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): 15+ minutes of stoppage time refers to a single match, not aggregate across the tournament. Update 2026-06-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Goals by default exclude penalty shoot-out goals unless otherwise specified.

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Will any group finish with either all draws or zero draws?, followed by Will both brothers of any pair score at this World Cup? and Will either Bosnia and Herzegovina or Qatar advance to the next round? are most likely. See the market for live updates (340 traders, as of Jun 20, 2026).

2026 FIFA World Cup prop bets

MANIFOLD

2026 FIFA World Cup prop bets

340

Ṁ28kṀ150k

Jul 19

52%

Will both brothers of any pair score at this World Cup?

41%

Champion is a first time World Cup winner

69%

Will any group finish with either all draws or zero draws?

49%

Will Cristiano Ronaldo Score Atleast A Goal In Next Match Against Uzbekistan

10%

Match delayed due to anti-Trump crowd chant

50%

Will either Bosnia and Herzegovina or Qatar advance to the next round?

20%

Haaland scores on every game he plays

47%

Will Merlin the duck correctly predict both remaining MEX group stage matches?

22%

Messi scores on every game he plays

22%

German Freddy is uncovered to be the marketing stunt

18%

Trump acts innapropriate with trophy at final

41%

Ronaldo puts up the goose egg (excludes any penalty or shootout)

66%

Messi gets a yellow card

22%

Will any player be seen drinking gatorade during a hydration break?

69%

Another match day ending in all draws (regular time)

10%

Someone from Trump administration celebrating in locker room

24%

Freddy shown during a match broadcast

60%

Freddy attends the final match

19%

Any team with <3 points advances from the group stage

A third-placed team is eliminated with 4+ points

20 var decisions overturned: only actual VAR interference count, automated offside checks are not included

Most questions should be clear from official stats pages. I reserve the right to make calls on ambiguous cases

Update 2026-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): 15+ minutes of stoppage time refers to a single match, not aggregate across the tournament.

Update 2026-06-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Goals by default exclude penalty shoot-out goals unless otherwise specified.

Market context

MS Community: FIFA World Cup 2026

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bought Ṁ1,058 NO

@CryptoNeoLiberalist only 2 corners in Mexico vs South Korea

Gruesome injury in Canada v Qatar: Source
I've heard there was visible bone/leg only being kept together by the sock

@StevetptC8 didn’t think it ll happen so early 😢 god bless him

bought Ṁ991 YES

@CryptoNeoLiberalist @Mochi Bosnia-Herzegovina man sent off 80 min scored at 90+3

Just happened in Switzerland vs Bosnia around minute 54

bought Ṁ50 YES

Harry Kane drank gatorade during the hydration break in yesterday's game.

sold Ṁ75 YES

@JZB correction. it was powerade

@UniversalFC this should be resolved as yes, Ibrahim Mbaye was born in France https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/ibrahim-mbaye/leistungsdaten/spieler/1185888

Ibrahim Mbaye - Stats 25/26

Player stats of Ibrahim Mbaye (FC Paris Saint-Germain) ➤ Goals ➤ Assists ➤ Matches played ➤ All performance data

bought Ṁ1,017 YES

@CryptoNeoLiberalist this can resolve yes - Yasin Ayari vs Tunisia . Born in Sweden but has Tunisian heritage.

bought Ṁ10 NO

@UniversalFC If the team with the youngest player is eliminated, does it move onto the next youngest player still playing?

Anything that is not just handing it to captain of winning teams at the ceremony. Holding onto it for too long or even the pretending to not give it and keep it. Taking it back. Dropping it. It is all these types of the inappropriate way to act.

bought Ṁ139 YES

@CryptoNeoLiberalist @Mochi
France Senegal
I. Mbaye (90'+5) for Senegal
K. Mbappé 90'+6 for France

@CryptoNeoLiberalist multiple foreign language news outlets (one example here, there are others) are reporting Spanish Marca to report this. I think it should be enough to resolve, even though ideally we'd have the original reporting.