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MANIFOLD
xAI 2026 peak valuation
10
Ṁ1kṀ3.3k
resolved Feb 3
ResolvedN/A
0.5%
<100B
0.9%
100B - 200B
76%
200B - 300B
6%
300B - 400B
6%
400B - 500B
3%
500B - 600B
2%
600B - 700B
1.6%
700B - 800B
1.6%
800B - 900B
1.9%Other

Resolves to a consensus of reliable sources. Secondary market transactions are not used to determine the valuation. Buckets are left-inclusive.

See also:

/Bayesian/xai-2026-revenue

/Bayesian/xai-highest-valuation-in-2025

/Bayesian/xai-2026-peak-valuation (this market)

/Bayesian/xai-2027-peak-valuation

/Bayesian/xai-2028-peak-valuation

/Bayesian/openai-2026-peak-valuation

/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-in-2026

Market context
AI
Technical AI Timelines
XAI
Valuation
2026
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bought Ṁ100 YES

@Bayesian resolve 250B for all xAI valuation markets?
https://x.com/DeItaone/status/2018450197463122317

@prismatic i would lean toward N/Aing hmmmm

@Bayesian ok i can see that for the '27/'28 markets but i think its still fair for the '26 market

@prismatic I think that's a perfectly valid opinion but on further thought I disagree sorry

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