Anthropic 2026 peak valuation [old buckets]

MANIFOLD

Ṁ1.1kṀ20k

Jan 1

0.1%

<100B

0.1%

100B - 200B

0.1%

200B - 300B

0.1%

300B - 400B

0.1%

400B - 500B

0.1%

500B - 600B

0.1%

600B - 700B

0.1%

700B - 800B

0.1%

800B - 900B

10%

900B - 1T

89%

Other

Resolves to a consensus of reliable sources. Secondary market transactions are not used to determine the valuation. Buckets are left-inclusive.

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Anthropic above 10T valuation on June 14 2027

4% chance

Anthropic reaches $1T+ valuation before OpenAI?

3% chance

Anthropic highest valuation by end of December 2026

OpenAI highest valuation by end of December 2026

Anthropic peak market cap in 2026?

Anthropic has a profitable quarter in 2027?

73% chance

Anthropic highest valuation by end of June 2027

Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2027

Anthropic highest valuation by end of March 2027

Anthropic highest valuation by end of December 2027

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I can't believe I was optimistic on this question and still underestimated it.

@JoshSnider ikr

Made a related question: What will be the valuation of Anthropic at IPO?

Greater than a trillion.

@jim @Bayesian do you now regret having such small buckets?

@jim yes yes yes

People are also trading

Anthropic above 10T valuation on June 14 2027

4% chance

Anthropic reaches $1T+ valuation before OpenAI?

-9% 1d3% chance

Anthropic highest valuation by end of December 2026

OpenAI highest valuation by end of December 2026

Anthropic peak market cap in 2026?

Anthropic has a profitable quarter in 2027?

73% chance

Anthropic highest valuation by end of June 2027

Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2027

Anthropic highest valuation by end of March 2027

Anthropic highest valuation by end of December 2027

People are also trading

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