Will Venezuelans be better off at end of 2026, conditional on sanctions NOT being lifted?
9
Ṁ1kṀ763Dec 31
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Sanctions are considered "lifted" if ANY of the following occur before Dec 31, 2026:
PDVSA is removed from the OFAC SDN list, or a general license allows broad US business with PDVSA
Executive order formally terminates or suspends E.O. 13850 (oil sector) or E.O. 13884 (government property blocking)
US Treasury/State announces Venezuela oil sanctions are "lifted," "ended," or "terminated" (not just "modified" or "waived")
If sanctions are lifted, resolves N/A.
If sanctions are NOT lifted, resolves to this market:
Update 2026-01-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Better off" is operationalized by the resolution of the linked market. If that market resolves YES, Venezuelans are considered better off.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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