Will Claude Opus 5 be released in February 2026? | Manifold

Will Claude Opus 5 be released in February 2026?

19

Ṁ100Ṁ1.6k

Feb 28

8%

chance

4

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves to yes if Anthropic releases an Opus 5 model in any publicly available way in February 2026. it resolves no otherwise.

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opened a Ṁ3,000 NO at 30% order

NO at 30 @Bayesian ?

@bens no mb

I thought you wanted to make this conditional on any Opus release this month?

@SorenJ yeah i should have done that will make another markt

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Claude 5 (Anthropic) release date

Claude 5 released before March 31?

-10% 1d63% chance

Will Anthropic release Claude Sonnet 4.6 by February 15th?

Will Anthropic publicly acknowledge a significant/systematic degradation of Claude Opus 4.5 by February 29, 2026?

Will o5 be released before 2027?

Related questions

Claude 5 (Anthropic) release date

Claude 5 released before March 31?

Will Anthropic release Claude Sonnet 4.6 by February 15th?

Will Anthropic publicly acknowledge a significant/systematic degradation of Claude Opus 4.5 by February 29, 2026?

Will o5 be released before 2027?

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