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Will Anthropic release Claude Sonnet 4.6 by February 15th?
19
Ṁ100Ṁ440
Feb 15
57%
chance
4

Claude Sonnet 4.7 would count. Claude Sonnet 5 would not count. Released means that it is available via the api, the website, the app or available in any other public facing way (i.e. I can use it). If it is released on the 15th exactly, I would resolve yes.

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I created a broader version of this for ANY model >4.5 over here: https://manifold.markets/nostream/will-anthropic-announce-a-new-front

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