MANIFOLD
Next Anthropic model release either Sonnet 4.1 or Opus 4.2?
34
Ṁ1kṀ13k
resolved Sep 29
Resolved
NO

If the next Anthropic model release is Sonnet 4.1, resolves Yes

If the next Anthropic model release is Opus 4.2, resolves Yes

If it's anything else, resolves No

Market close extended until a release

Modifying specs of a current model, like increasing Sonnet's context length to 1 million, does not count as a new model if it is not accompanied by a name change.

Market context
Claude
Anthropic
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Sort by:

https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5

Why did this drop all of the sudden?

bought Ṁ150 YES

@JaundicedBaboon People are speculating that they will release sonnet 4.5 i think

Sonnet 4.x does not count unless it is 4.1, right?

@SCS Ye

Does a standalone haiku release trigger this market

@JoshYou Yes. I’ll be here to collect the mana when they release haiku and name it Opus 4.2

bought Ṁ50 NO

I bet they're gonna release Sonnet 4.2 only, then Opus 4.3, and so on /s

boughtṀ100NO

@AffineTyped Got a limit u can fill

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