Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?
77
1kṀ24k2029
4%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to YES if Donald J. Trump is sworn in to a third term as President Of The United States before February 1 2029.
Sep 14, 9:26pm: Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a third term as the US President? → Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?
Update 2025-07-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Per the creator, the following conditions apply:
Any sequence of events that leads to Donald Trump being officially sworn in as president for a third 4-year term will satisfy the market.
Temporary delegation of presidential powers (e.g., due to illness or incapacitation) does not count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
If Trump is re-elected will he face a third impeachment in the first 6 months of his presidency?
1% chance
Will Trump participate in an election for a third term?
18% chance
Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term?
59% chance
Will Donald Trump either serve a third term or run for U.S. President in an election held after 2028?
11% chance
Conditional on Trump running for a third term, will he win?
28% chance
Will Trump say he is candidate for a third term as president during the year of 2028?
22% chance
If Trump is elected POTUS in 2024, will he be elected for a third term in 2028 or 2032?
4% chance
If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?
55% chance
Will Trump be impeached again during his second term?
60% chance