Will I poop my pants before 2027?
➕
Plus
52
Ṁ7376
Jan 1
62%
chance

Will I poop my own pants by Dec 31, 2026? Must be a full poop, not a shart. Skirts, kilts, dresses, bodysuits, jeggings, and togas also count, if pooped in. Must be unintentional and outside of a hospital or my own bed. If someone pays me to perform the pooping, this does not count.

I have pooped my pants (according to these specifications) twice in my adult life, which spans the last 13 years.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Seems too high on priors, but I suspect Nate has some kind of insider information

This market has seen quite a lot of activity in the last 35 minutes.

bought Ṁ50 NO

I have never pooped my adult pants.

The probability must go down as people become wary on what they eat to avoid gastro/dairy and what not.

Were the previous occasions acid related, and how much acid do you do these days?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules