What will happen to me in 2026?

MANIFOLD

Ṁ400Ṁ248

Dec 31

80%

I will face a significant challenge or obstacle

77%

I will experience personal growth or transformation

74%

I will have a memorable experience or adventure

56%

I will learn a new skill or hobby

55%

I will say 67

55%

I will experience a personal loss or grief

50%

I will make a major life decision

47%

I will achieve a long-term goal

47%

I will encounter unexpected good fortune

45%

I will reconnect with someone from my past

45%

I will start or end a major relationship

40%

I will travel to a new country

38%

I will move to a new location

36%

I will face a major financial change

35%

I will get a new job or career opportunity

17%

I will experience a significant health change

What will happen to me

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves based on my personal experience and judgment throughout 2026. Each answer resolves YES if the corresponding event occurs in my life during the calendar year 2026, and NO if it does not. I will determine resolution at year-end based on whether each outcome actually happened. Outcomes are independent—multiple answers can resolve YES simultaneously.

Background

This is a personal prediction market about your own life events. The answers cover a range of common life changes: career shifts, health changes, relocation, relationships, travel, skill development, financial changes, loss, goal achievement, good fortune, challenges, reconnection, major decisions, personal growth, and memorable experiences. These categories encompass most significant life events people experience.

Considerations

Since I control the resolution criteria, be thoughtful about what constitutes each outcome when the time comes to resolve. For example, "significant health change" could mean anything from a diagnosis to improved fitness—consider in advance what threshold I’d consider significant. Similarly, "major financial change" might mean different things depending on your circumstances. Clarity now will make resolution easier in December 2026.

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves based on my personal experience and judgment throughout 2026. Each answer resolves YES if the corresponding event occurs in your life during the calendar year 2026, and NO if it does not. I will determine resolution at year-end based on whether each outcome actually happened. Outcomes are independent—multiple answers can resolve YES simultaneously.

Since I control the resolution, be thoughtful about what constitutes each outcome in advance. For example, "significant health change" could mean anything from a diagnosis to improved fitness—decide now what threshold you'd consider significant. Similarly, "major financial change" might mean different things depending on your circumstances. Clarity now will make resolution easier in December 2026.

Background

This is a personal prediction market about my own life events in 2026. The answers cover a range of common life changes: career shifts, health changes, relocation, relationships, travel, skill development, financial changes, loss, goal achievement, good fortune, challenges, reconnection, major decisions, personal growth, and memorable experiences.

Considerations

Since multiple outcomes can resolve YES simultaneously, I may experience several of these events in a single year. The breadth of categories means most significant life events should fit into at least one answer, but you retain discretion over what qualifies as "significant" or "major" for borderline cases.

Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "I will experience personal growth or transformation": This will resolve YES for any amount of growth.

Market context

Personal

Personal Goals

Will I

Get

1,000

to start trading!