Will I have a baby by the end of 2027?
Basic
16
๐•Š81
2028
40%
chance

A baby at any stage of production counts, 'being pregnant' at the end of 2027 will resolve a yes. If I become pregnant and then become unpregnant without producing a baby before the end of 2027, this will not count as a yes.


I have no serious babydaddy prospects right now.

I do definitely want a kid in general.

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bought แน€50 YES

It's slightly funny that someone betting on this market could also take part in determining the result.

Manifold thinks that this is the only Sweepstakes market considered "hot" and "random".

are you willing to use a sperm donor or otherwise get pregnant from a man that does not intend to stay with you and raise the child?

How old you are would probably be the biggest piece of info here

@Riley12 Google says 32

Will this only resolve โ€˜Yesโ€™ if the baby gestates in your own uterus?

Booooo adoption should count

Will you bet on this market?

I don't think Aella having a baby for mana is something we have to worry about

@GazDownright I bet on all my markets by default if I want to, excluding ones that have a correct answer that I already know

@Aella hm, what I'm deducing from this is that once you stop buying in this market, I need to buy a huge YES position ๐Ÿค”

@Aella hm I think ones that are more private like this you shouldn't bet on, big info disparity. But also traders are making the choice to play knowing you're betting no so idk

@Aella are you comfortable with us making markets like these eligible for sweepstakes? I would guess yes but just wanted to check!

@SirSalty sure!

bought แน€10 YES

Betting yes as a manifestation

@TheWabiSabi that really puts the manifest in manifestation

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