Will we discover a novel pathogen that causes disease and originates from the Moon before the end of 2070?
17
1kṀ8682071
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will we discover alien life before 2030?
10% chance
Will we discover a novel pathogen that causes disease and originates from the Moon before the end of 2050?
5% chance
Will we discover a novel pathogen that causes disease and originates from Mars before the end of 2080?
10% chance
Will we discover a novel pathogen that causes disease and originates from Mars before the end of 2100?
11% chance
Will another global-scale novel pathogen emerge before the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will a deadly disease evolve in outerspace by 2100?
26% chance
Will an engineered pathogen cause a pandemic before 2030?
7% chance
Will there be a death on the moon from any cause before the end of 2040?
54% chance
Will an AI system design a pathogen which leads WHO to declare an emergency of some sort by the end of the July, 2030?
21% chance
Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?
37% chance