🎃What will happen in October 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
68
675Ṁ6655
Nov 1
99%
Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive during the entire month
98.9%
Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%
98.6%
dick cheney still alive at end of month
98%
Sam Altman still CEO through end of month
97%
noam chomsky alive until end of month
85%
Melissa is still a Cat 1+ Hurricane by the 31st
69%
major tech company merger/acquisition announced
55%
In public remarks, Trump speaks three or more consecutive sentences that can pass Microsoft Word 365's default grammar check.
50%
nyc receives 3 or more inches of rain
31%
Tumbles is late to pay back a loan https://manifold.markets/Tumbles/will-tumbles-ever-be-late-to-pay-ba
12%
$500 in mana sold in a single day during the month
11%
Volcano dormant for half a year erupts
8%
another indictment revealing a right wing media personality is taking money from russia
7%
spacex launches 15 or more rockets
7%
trump posts on twitter/x ten or more times
5%
web3isgoinggreat has at least 20 posts this month
5%
destiny goes on joe rogan
5%
spider man beyond the spider verse release date announced
3%
An original, Nintendo approved game with "Mario" in its title is announced
2%
usa troops enter lebanon

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

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@Zacd by the beginning of 31st or by the end of 31st or?
Also what time zone?

@ChristopherRandles end of the 31st (end of month) we will just use EDT time zone i think

@Zacd @strutheo Hurricane Melissa is now over Category 3 and will enter the Gulf soon after passing over Jamaica. Resolves YES?

@Chumchulum no, it is not forecasted to go into the gulf

@Zacd it is currently making landfall in Jamaica

opened a Ṁ10 YES at 26% order

@strutheo Resolves YES

https://malawi24.com/2025/10/24/tanzania-bans-x-twitter-ahead-of-general-election-amid-rising-political-tensions/

bought Ṁ85 YES

@strutheo Resolves YES? https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/22/meta-layoffs-ai.html

Meta lays off 600 from 'bloated' AI unit as Wang cements leadership
The cuts did not impact employees within TBD Labs, which includes many of the top-tier AI hires brought into Meta this summer, people familiar told CNBC.
bought Ṁ208 YES

Does Caribbean count as Atlantic? Melisa is at Cat 4.

bought Ṁ72 YES

@strutheo 3 XKCD comics - https://xkcd.com/3149/ , https://xkcd.com/3156/ , and https://xkcd.com/3157/

Measure Twice, Cut Once
bought Ṁ92 YES

Anthropic has released a new model: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-haiku-4-5

bought Ṁ59 YES

@strutheo Israel and Egypt Oct 13th
https://www.timesofisrael.com/trump-said-set-to-arrive-in-israel-monday-morning-for-quickfire-visit-address-knesset/

bought Ṁ94 YES

@strutheo

10th Oct 7.6 Drake passage
https://www.iris.edu/app/seismic-monitor/table

Death, taxes, and Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%.

bought Ṁ76 YES

@strutheo

high today High 191.05
52-wk high 191.05

bought Ṁ85 YES

@strutheo

52-wk high 22,900.60
today High 22,900.60

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