🔮What will be true about the world at the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]
116
11kṀ18k
2029
92%
xkcd is still producing new comics at least once a month
90%
Taylor Swift has been married
87%
USA's Supreme Court is still 9 justices (does not get expanded)
85%
publicly available ChatGPT or similar LLM can solve sudokus reliably
83%
Elon is still at least a partial owner of Twitter
82%
True Detective Season 5 released
81%
Destiny is still regularly livestreaming
80%
Super Smash Bros Melee still a popular esport
79%
No humans on the moon since Apollo
79%
Xi still leader of China
79%
Putin still leader of Russia
76%
Fortnite Crossover with the Simpsons
75%
Charles still King of UK
74%
Zuckerberg still CEO of facebook/meta
73%
Palworld is still able to be played through Steam
72%
S&box fully released (Facepunch's new garry's mod like game)
71%
a twitter account has reached 500M followers
70%
Mr Beast has 500M or more subscribers on Youtube
69%
Hiroyuki Nishimura is still the owner of 4chan
69%
One Piece manga is still going (original series)

📋GUIDELINES (incomplete)

  • I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

  • All resolutions require proof posted as a comment for me to resolve.

  • Make your answer submissions as clear and descriptive as possible. I reserve the right to rephrase answers as needed.

  • Please keep self-referential answers like 'will this market reach X answers' to a minimum, although I might personally add a few

🔎Specific Rules

  • Crypto and Stock prices will be determined by Google

  • Celebrity status is determined by Manifold if I think it is unclear. At the end of the month, a poll will be run to determine the resolution of those questions.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

@strutheo if the resolution to this is based on something like "showing a grainy photo of a sudoku book fails 1/10 times so NO" I am going to lose my marbles

@HectorCanizales Is it just me or is it virtually impossible for this to resolve YES (in terms of manifold finding out)

@Qoiuoiuoiu I'm willing to share the contact information of a close relative. That way you may check by the end of 2028.

bought Ṁ50 NO

@HectorCanizales Are you OK? Chronic disease? Suicidal? Old?

@nathanwei thanks for buying NO shares. I'm suicidal, nothing worth living for, nor no one worth living for.

@HectorCanizales For one, trying to make mana on Manifold. I look forward to betting on more markets to help you improve your life. Come on make some more markets!

@HectorCanizales Sorry to hear things have been bleak lately. Hopefully, you'll find some solace and enjoyment here on Manifold.

I've N/A'd your submitted answer per our policy. We will always leave these types of markets up and listed, so people can comment and ensure we aren't silencing anyone. But we find the actual trading element on these types of markets unhelpful. Excited to trade on whatever other markets and answers you come up with, though!

I imagine there are some proxies to your well-being that would actually be helpful to get more information on, similar to your debt market. E.g. "will I have a job", "Will I have a hobby I love by X date", "multiple choice on what things you might end up doing", etc.

@HectorCanizales oh no i am sorry to hear that, yeah lets not bet on it </3

i do think you could think of some interesting proxies/related markets though, and im glad youre enjoying the hobby so far

@SirSalty Thanks for the kind words, David.

@HectorCanizales Be sure to stay on Manifold so we can verify this one, lol.

bought Ṁ47 YES

@strutheo Resolves YES

@strutheo Resolves NO.

bought Ṁ500 YES

@strutheo Resolves YES as of Dec. 7 and Dec. 17, 2024

bought Ṁ400 YES

@strutheo It's at USD$2640ish right now

@Unown Resolves NO

bought Ṁ500 YES

@strutheo Resolves YES as of Dec. 5, 2024 according to Google market summary

reposted

upgraded to basic

reposted

Aww, this has been N/A'd.

I'm so petty that when the wave of paperclips is reaching me, my last thought is guaranteed to be "I told you so, @strutheo " 😛

@BrunoParga just because i dont want to take up one of 100 slots with 0% for 4 years </3

i'd leave it otherwise!

@BrunoParga lol you have my permission to curse my name in your final moments, and i will feel very embarrassed if it happens

@strutheo I'm actually confused about that - does it work? Like, does N/Aing a question free up its slot?

@BrunoParga yes , after the january market broke the site, they made it so it is only 100 active questions for each MC market. so now there is another spot to add a question here

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy