Starship Flight 10 successfully deploys a payload?
14
Ṁ110Ṁ1.7kresolved Aug 27
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Mass Sim / dummy payload counts. In the off-chance flight 10 isn't intended to attempt a payload deployment, this shifts to flight 11, 12, etc, until some flight is planned with a payload.
Update 2025-08-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A suborbital payload deployment will count for a YES resolution, provided the deployment was intended.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ66 | |
| 2 | Ṁ61 | |
| 3 | Ṁ25 | |
| 4 | Ṁ21 | |
| 5 | Ṁ17 |
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
When will Starship flight 12 happen?
When will Starship flight 12 happen?
4/13/26
What will happen successfully during Starship flight 12?
Will Starship have a 99% success rate as of its 500th payload-carrying launch?
67% chance
When will Starship first launch with useful payload?
When will Starship deploy satellites for the 2nd time?
3/20/27
When will Starship successfully land for the first time?
10/25/26
In which year will Starship first launch with 50 or more people on board?
How often will Starship have launched by the time of Falcon 9's retirement?
302