Will liberals lose the 2026 midterms because of Bluesky?
17
Ṁ100Ṁ553Dec 1
7%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Conditions for YES:
1) Republicans keep the senate and house after the 2026 midterms, AND
2) There is reliable coverage describing how the Bluesky echo chamber led to a Democrat platform unappealing to voters
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@mongo I would like at least 5 competent publications, journalists, analysts or people with significant following to claim that Bluesky was a significant factor in shaping the Democrat platform
must be thoughtful, informed analyses, not e.g. something Jack Posobiec tweets
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?
23% chance
What will Adjacent’s BLUE political index value be at the 2026 midterms?
110.9
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
42% chance
Will Democrats regain control of the Senate in 2026?
43% chance
Will Democrats win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections?
80% chance
Will Democrats win back the House in 2026 ?
80% chance
If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate?
51% chance
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
80% chance
Democrats gain Senate seats in 2026 midterm elections?
95% chance