Lighthaven's official calendar shows that the venue has been pre-emptively booked from Jun 5-7 and Jun 12-14. According to less.online, they have scheduled the conference from Jun 5-7, which leaves 12-14 as the near-certain weekend for Manifest.
Update 2026-03-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will wait to resolve until the date is confirmed (not just tentative).
Update 2026-03-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is resolving the market, having confirmed the conference dates by being able to purchase a ticket for Jun 12-14.
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@traders Right now, it's still "tentative" so I am gonna wait to resolve until it is confirmed for that date
@realDonaldTrump @traders I'm now able to buy a ticket for the conference on those dates so I'm going to resolve this
@realDonaldTrump I was already very confident that it would be that weekend. Maybe not 99% confident, I may have over bet there.